23 February 2026 | Rohit Vinod
In the last twenty years, companies have pumped in significant funds in analytics, dashboards, and forecast models in the quest to make decision-making more accurate. The operating environment has however become less predictable, not more.
“This is not a failure of data. It represents a breakdown of interpretation.”
Risk is still considered more as a number to work with by most institutions instead of a state of being that should be understood. Conventional models assume stability which is interrupted by periodic shocks. The modern world is, however, the opposite: the constant upheaval with some small gaps of peace.
The consequence of this is a dangerous mismatch between the way decisions are being made and the way reality acts.
Risk is no longer presented in clean classified forms such as financial, operational, geopolitical, and technological. These forces are now interacting simultaneously, multiplying one another in the supply chains, markets and institutions.
Companies which still measure risks individually are responding to a world that is no longer there.
‘Contemporary resilience needs the knowledge of the spreading of risks not just their manifestation.’